June 13, 2019 ECB Struggles as Central Banking World Turns Upside-Down by Darren Williams As global growth prospects have weakened, the world of central banking has been turned upside-down. But while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has already hinted at a change of course, the European Central Bank (ECB) is still struggling to adapt to the new reality. Economics Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
June 11, 2019 Healthcare Stocks: Invest in Business, not Science by Vinay Thapar Healthcare stocks served as powerful painkillers during last year’s market declines. Yet the sector offers much more than just downside protection for investors who focus on business potential and resist the urge to predict scientific breakthroughs. Equities Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
June 10, 2019 Hard Landing for China’s Growth? Six Factors to Watch by Mo Ji, Shamaila Khan Will China’s economy suffer a hard landing? That’s been a concern voiced by investors almost every year for the past 10 years. But now, with China’s incredible increase in debt and leverage (not to mention escalating trade wars), the possibility of a hard landing would have critical implications for all global markets. Economics, Emerging Markets, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
June 06, 2019 Trade Wars Likely to Change the Fed’s Interest-Rate Game Plan by Eric Winograd The trade war has taken a harsher turn, threatening to further dampen economic growth. We expect the Fed to respond with sizable rate cuts, but the timing and amounts are more speculative than normal. Why? Economic data haven’t yet taken a major downward turn, and there’s uncertainty over how the Fed will react. Economics, Fixed Income, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
June 04, 2019 Equities: Concentrate on Right Risks for Right Reasons by Mark Phelps Investors shouldn’t avoid risk: it’s how you generate return. One solution is to find good companies that have the right risks for the right reasons and for the right time horizon. With a concentrated portfolio, you can spend more time on fewer companies, get to know them better and see if they’ve got a great runway for growth. Equities, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
June 04, 2019 What’s Up (or Down) with the Fed’s Balance Sheet by Eric Winograd The US central bank recently said it would not shrink its balance sheet by as much as many investors had feared. Here’s why—and why it matters. Economics Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 31, 2019 Will Modern Monetary Theory Go Mainstream? by Eric Winograd Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has moved from the fringe to broader public discussion recently, fueling concern from some investors about growing debt levels. We don’t expect MMT to replace our current economic structure, but its populist-inspired underpinnings will likely have a sizable influence on policy. Economics, Inflation Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 31, 2019 Brexit Update: New Developments Raise “No Deal” Risks by Darren Williams Two important political developments in the UK over the last week have raised new questions about the Brexit outlook. While there’s still time for a compromise to be reached, we think the risk of the UK leaving the EU without a deal has increased. Brexit, Economics Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 29, 2019 Value Disconnect: Why Are Cheaper Stocks Still Stuck? by Avi Lavi Global value stocks have continued to underperform in 2019. But there’s a big disconnect between the weak returns of cheaper stocks and their underlying earnings profile. Equities Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 28, 2019 China and US: Tug of Trade War by Mo Ji, Shamaila Khan The latest spike in trade tensions between the US and China raises the stakes for the G20 meeting in late June. It also has some investors questioning how China will manage growth as well as fiscal and monetary policy to keep stability through these uncertain times. Economics, Emerging Markets, Fixed Income, Trade Wars, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 22, 2019 Emerging Markets: Widen Your Lens Beyond Trade Tensions by Morgan Harting The beauty of EM investing is you can find opportunities in stocks or bonds beyond the narrow focus of headlines. Emerging Markets, Trade Wars, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 21, 2019 US Housing Reform and the Future of CRTs by Michael S. Canter, Janaki Rao Credit risk-transfer securities have made the US mortgage market safer by shifting default risk from taxpayers to private investors. The latest attempt to overhaul the housing finance system isn’t likely to change that. Alternatives, Fixed Income, Policy & Regulation Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 20, 2019 Evaluating the Effects of China’s Pork Crisis by John Lin, Stuart Rae African swine fever is ravaging China’s pork supply and having a global impact on protein prices. For equity investors, the crisis serves as a reminder that even amid trade-war uncertainty, research into domestic trends can help investors access the country’s vast stock market. Equities Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 16, 2019 Responsible Returns: Better Stocks for a Better World by Dan Roarty Many equity investors want to help create social benefits while generating strong returns. Deploying a clear investment process that draws on the UN Sustainable Development Goals and integrates ESG factors in research can help investors achieve these twin goals. Equities, Responsible Investing/ESG Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 14, 2019 Where Next? Our Post-Recovery Outlook for Emerging-Market Debt by Shamaila Khan Emerging-market bonds got off to a strong start after a difficult 2018. Are more gains possible? We think so, and volatility sparked by increased trade tension may provide a buying opportunity for selective investors. Emerging Markets, Fixed Income Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 14, 2019 Postcard from… India by Jia Zhang India’s financial sector can be as chaotic as a Mumbai street market. But when I recently visited India and looked beyond the noisy headlines, I felt excited about the attractive investment opportunities that were created by the liquidity crisis which started last September. Emerging Markets, Equities Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks