May 28, 2019 China and US: Tug of Trade War by Mo Ji, Shamaila Khan The latest spike in trade tensions between the US and China raises the stakes for the G20 meeting in late June. It also has some investors questioning how China will manage growth as well as fiscal and monetary policy to keep stability through these uncertain times. Economics, Emerging Markets, Fixed Income, Trade Wars, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 22, 2019 Emerging Markets: Widen Your Lens Beyond Trade Tensions by Morgan Harting The beauty of EM investing is you can find opportunities in stocks or bonds beyond the narrow focus of headlines. Emerging Markets, Trade Wars, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
May 07, 2019 Beat the Warning Lights: Managing Risk in European Equities by Tawhid Ali, Andrew Birse Investors often ask how it’s possible to allocate capital to European stocks given the political risks that abound. We think the answer is to combine disciplined stock picking with risk-management tools that look for unintended threats to a portfolio. Brexit, Equities, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
April 30, 2019 Watch Out for Volatility, Even in Rising Markets by Kent Hargis, Sammy Suzuki, Chris Marx Global stocks rebounded in the first quarter, but the ride was rocky. Even in a rising market, volatility is a clear and present danger. With so many risks clouding the outlook, we believe that investors should focus on generating a smoother pattern of returns. Equities, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
April 29, 2019 Looking to De-Risk? High Yield Can Help by Gershon Distenfeld, Will Smith The S&P 500 Index hit an all-time high on April 23, thanks to improving investor optimism. But for some equity investors, market highs signal a good time to reduce downside risk. Shifting a modest allocation into US high yield is an efficient way of doing just that—significantly lowering overall risk while only modestly curbing potential returns. Asset Allocation, Fixed Income, Later in the Cycle, Volatility Likes 1 SHARE Bookmarks
April 16, 2019 Is Inversion Panic Justified? by Scott Krauthamer In recent weeks, the US yield curve has been making investors nervous again. The curve has inverted before each of the last seven recessions, and it did so again on March 22. But what does an inversion really mean for equity returns? Equities, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
April 10, 2019 Equity Investing When Turbocharged Growth Is Gone by Mark Phelps In today’s low-growth, low interest-rate environment, investors should be patient, and look for opportunities to use volatility to get into desirable investments at the price you’re willing to pay. Equities, Later in the Cycle, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 18, 2019 Looking Forward, Looking Back: 10 Charts After 10 Years Just over a decade ago, global markets began to recover from the biggest shock in postwar history. These 10 charts show both how much has changed since then and how post-crisis market conditions may influence the next decade. Active & Passive , Equities, Fixed Income, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 12, 2019 High Yield: The Comeback Kid How swift will the high-yield recovery be? How likely is it to be sustained? History sheds some light. Fixed Income, Later in the Cycle, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 05, 2019 Can a High-Yield Allocation Still Offset Equity Volatility? by Gershon Distenfeld Should you be concerned that high-yield bonds didn’t predict last year’s equity market selloff? We don’t think so. In fact, we think investors should consider adding high-yield exposure to reduce overall risk. Fixed Income, Later in the Cycle, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 30, 2019 Building a Macro-Resistant Equity Portfolio by Kent Hargis, Sammy Suzuki, Chris Marx After a volatile year in global markets, equity investors are on high alert. With so much uncertainty about the macroeconomic growth outlook, we think it's important to make sure that an equity allocation is positioned to do well no matter what happens to the economy. Equities, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 22, 2019 Are Global Stocks Divorced from Reality? by Mark Phelps, Dev Chakrabarti Equities declined around the world in 2018, and valuations fell sharply. The risks are clearly significant—but have stocks fallen too far? With earnings still expected to advance this year, we think selective investors can find attractive entry points. Equities, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 15, 2019 How to Keep Your Balance in Shaky Bond Markets by Matthew Sheridan Bond strategies that balance interest-rate and credit risk struggled in 2018. Is this time-tested approach past its prime? Hardly. We think investors will need to blend exposure to both to generate income and limit risk in 2019. Fixed Income, Later in the Cycle, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks