January 16, 2020 The Phase-One US-China Trade Agreement: Cease-Fire, Not Peace Treaty by Eric Winograd The US and China formally signed a phase-one trade deal Wednesday after several months of negotiations. We see the deal as a near-term positive for markets—but it also leaves the thorniest issues between the two countries unresolved. Economics, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 09, 2020 Fixed Income Outlook: Keep an Eye on Systemic Risks in 2020 by Scott DiMaggio, Gershon Distenfeld With bond yields near record lows, can fixed-income markets generate solid returns in 2020 without forcing investors to take too much risk? From a fraught geopolitical landscape to a global slowdown, we assess today’s biggest challenges—and opportunities. Fixed Income, Later in the Cycle, Trade Wars, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 06, 2020 How Will Trade Wars and Populism Play Out? by Darren Williams, Guy Bruten Brexit, US–China trade tensions, elections around the world—these issues are linked to much deeper, longer running populist trends which aren’t going away any time soon. These and other populist concerns will contribute for some time to the slow-growth environment we’re in now. Brexit, Economics, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
December 17, 2019 Investing in Chinese Stocks After the Trade Truce by John Lin, Stuart Rae Now that the US and China have agreed to begin easing trade tensions, the fog over China’s markets is starting to lift. Investors should consider Chinese equity opportunities that have been overlooked because of tariff fears. China, Emerging Markets, Equities, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
October 02, 2019 Is the Trade War a Blessing in Disguise for China’s Tech Sector? by John Lin, Stuart Rae, Min Zhou Complex ties between US and Chinese technology sectors are being tested by trade war tensions. But some steps taken by the US against Chinese multinational giant Huawei Technologies could backfire and spark a new phase of development for the Chinese technology sector. China, Equities, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
September 16, 2019 Evaluating Challenges to the Global Economic Outlook by Darren Williams The global economy faces its most challenging year in over a decade. Policymakers still have options, but can they use them effectively? Economics, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
September 11, 2019 Income Investing When (Trade) Tensions Run High by Monika Carlson Trade tensions—and the volatility they bring—are forcing investors to think about new ways to generate low-volatility income. A mortgage income strategy that balances high-quality securities with historically high-returning ones can help Fixed Income, Late-Cycle Investing, Trade Wars, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
August 14, 2019 Why Today’s Inverted Yield Curve Isn’t Necessarily a Recession Warning by Erin Bigley, Chris Marx The most closely watched part of the US yield curve inverted this week for this first time since 2007, suggesting that a recession may be around the corner. We’re not convinced that’s true. Active & Passive , Equities, Fixed Income, Trade Wars, Volatility Likes 1 SHARE Bookmarks
August 07, 2019 China’s Currency Weakness: Not as Bad as it Seems—Yet by Mo Ji China’s currency depreciated this week, with the exchange rate rising to more than 7.0 renminbi per US dollar, unnerving investors and markets worldwide. Here’s the good news: we don’t think the renminbi will continue to weaken at the same pace. China, Currency, Economics, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
August 05, 2019 Is a New Front About to Open in the US-China Trade War? by Eric Winograd Financial markets are focused on the ongoing trade war between the US and China—which goods and services are in play and what measures are being taken or threatened in each case. But the trade conflict could spill over into currency markets—and that’s a risk that bears watching. China, Currency, Economics, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
July 30, 2019 Midyear Bond Outlook: Making Sense of Conflicting Signals by Douglas J. Peebles The first half of 2019 was kind to financial markets. Will the good times keep on rolling? In our view, that will depend on whether loosening monetary policy is still an effective way to boost growth. Fixed Income, Late-Cycle Investing, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
July 08, 2019 Global Equities: Searching for Symptoms of Three Mounting Risks by Sharon Fay, Christopher Hogbin Global equities advanced in the second quarter, but the path was rocky. Incoming earnings reports will provide important clues about how companies are coping with mounting challenges—from trade wars to global growth—and how investors should position. Late-Cycle Investing, Trade Wars, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
July 01, 2019 European Automakers – Trade War Woes Add Pressure on Bonds by Robert Schwartz, Jørgen Kjærsgaard Trade war fears have dominated the headlines recently, but European automakers already face other serious headwinds. We believe bond investors should tread warily in this sector. Fixed Income, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks