April 17, 2019 The Late, Late Cycle: Preparing for a World of Lower Returns by Richard Brink, Walt Czaicki These are tricky days for the global economy. As growth downshifts and corporate earnings weaken, some investors are dusting off playbooks for late-cycle investing. That makes sense, but there are a few twists to today’s market conditions that may require new responses. Active & Passive , Economics, Equities, Inflation, Later in the Cycle Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
April 16, 2019 Is Inversion Panic Justified? by Scott Krauthamer In recent weeks, the US yield curve has been making investors nervous again. The curve has inverted before each of the last seven recessions, and it did so again on March 22. But what does an inversion really mean for equity returns? Equities, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
April 12, 2019 Watch Out for Volatility, Even in Rising Markets by Kent Hargis, Sammy Suzuki, Chris Marx Global stocks rebounded in the first quarter, but the ride was rocky. Even in a rising market, volatility is a clear and present danger. With so many risks clouding the outlook, we believe that investors should focus on generating a smoother pattern of returns. Equities, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
April 10, 2019 Equity Investing When Turbocharged Growth Is Gone by Mark Phelps In today’s low-growth, low interest-rate environment, investors should be patient, and look for opportunities to use volatility to get into desirable investments at the price you’re willing to pay. Equities, Later in the Cycle, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 27, 2019 Inflation and Pricing Power by James T. Tierney, Jr. Many US companies have forgotten how to raise prices because they haven’t had to for a long time. In some sectors, such as retail, pricing power has been hobbled by the giant consolidated retailers, leaving other businesses unable to adequately offset inflationary pressures. Equities, Inflation, Later in the Cycle Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 18, 2019 Looking Forward, Looking Back: 10 Charts After 10 Years Just over a decade ago, global markets began to recover from the biggest shock in postwar history. These 10 charts show both how much has changed since then and how post-crisis market conditions may influence the next decade. Active & Passive , Equities, Fixed Income, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 08, 2019 Healthcare Stocks: Invest in Business, not Science by Vinay Thapar Healthcare stocks served as powerful painkillers during last year’s market declines. Yet the sector offers much more than just downside protection for investors who focus on business potential and resist the urge to predict scientific breakthroughs. Equities Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 28, 2019 Avoid the Crowds in Chinese Stocks by John Lin, Stuart Rae After MSCI decided today to boost the allocation to Chinese onshore stocks in its emerging-market indices, global investors are likely to pump more money into the market. But watch out for crowds. Flows into China are concentrated in a small group of large-cap stocks. Equities Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 21, 2019 Value Equities: Is the Long, Dark Winter Ending? by James MacGregor, Cem Inal, Shri Singhvi Value investing has always been about challenging the consensus—but never more so than today. After several tough years, we’re seeing signs of a value recovery brewing. Yet fresh approaches are needed to capture the potential in today’s complex markets. Equities Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 14, 2019 No more ‘Wild East’: China’s Stock Market Is Growing Up Fast by John Lin, Stuart Rae The Chinese stock market is changing at breathtaking speed and is on track to reach maturity faster than any other in history. Global investors have been reluctant to dive in, but there are good reasons to get acquainted with the companies serving the world’s second-largest economy. Emerging Markets, Equities Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 04, 2019 What the Size of Your Coffee Cup Can Teach Us About Investment Returns by Frank Caruso, Chris Kotowicz Many US companies have enjoyed an earnings boost from premium products in recent years. But a strong sales mix may leave a company’s profitability vulnerable in the late stages of an economic cycle, when spending trends begin to weaken. Equities Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 01, 2019 Latest Jobs Data Show a Robust US Labor Market by Eric Winograd The government shutdown and temporary displacement of some workers didn’t cause the strong US labor market to miss a beat. Today’s jobs report reinforces that gains have been accelerating. That’s good news for the economy and markets. Economics, Equities, Fixed Income Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 30, 2019 Building a Macro-Resistant Equity Portfolio by Kent Hargis, Sammy Suzuki, Chris Marx After a volatile year in global markets, equity investors are on high alert. With so much uncertainty about the macroeconomic growth outlook, we think it's important to make sure that an equity allocation is positioned to do well no matter what happens to the economy. Equities, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks