Economics

Five Reasons Europe Should Avoid Recession in 2019
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The Long View: Debt and Demographics
Latest Jobs Data Show a Robust US Labor Market
Is It Time for the Fed to Ditch the Dot Plot?

Is It Time for the Fed to Ditch the Dot Plot?

by Eric Winograd
The magnitude of recent market reactions to the Fed’s comments makes it clear that communication between the Fed and markets isn’t working: the market is too focused on the Fed—and not enough on the economy. One solution? The Fed should stop giving forward guidance about rates—and eliminate the “dot plot.”

Economics


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Nigeria and South Africa: Will Elections Bring Change for Investors?
US Government Shutdown—Dimensioning the Economic Effects
Populism Is Alive and Well: What’s the Big-Picture Impact?
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Fewer Fed Rate Hikes in Store—But Not Because the Economy’s Faltering
The Upside/Downside of Global Risk in 2019

The Upside/Downside of Global Risk in 2019

Global growth is moderating and inflation is rising. Drill down into specific regions and countries, however, and there’s a lot more variation. For example, growth is likely to remain strong in the US and could falter in China. The United Kingdom is grappling with Brexit, while the rise of populism in Italy creates serious concerns for the Euro area. Find our growth forecasts and the upside and downside risks driving our outlook for the world’s economies in our infographic below.

Economics


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