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Less Favorable Growth-Inflation Mix in 2019

Less Favorable Growth-Inflation Mix in 2019

by Darren Williams
As we get ready to move into 2019, the macro backdrop points to a less favorable mix of growth and inflation at a time when central bank balance sheets are starting to shrink. Even if growth is simply returning to trend, the year ahead is likely to be more challenging—with populism and China looming as key downside risks.

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The Upside/Downside of Global Risk in 2019

The Upside/Downside of Global Risk in 2019

Global growth is moderating and inflation is rising. Drill down into specific regions and countries, however, and there’s a lot more variation. For example, growth is likely to remain strong in the US and could falter in China. The United Kingdom is grappling with Brexit, while the rise of populism in Italy creates serious concerns for the Euro area. Find our growth forecasts and the upside and downside risks driving our outlook for the world’s economies in our infographic below.

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