Eric Winograd

Senior Economist—Fixed Income

Eric Winograd is a Senior Vice President and Senior Economist for Fixed Income, responsible for the economic and interest-rate analysis of the US, Canada and Mexico. He joined the firm in 2017. From 2010 to 2016, Winograd was the senior economist at MKP Capital Management, a US-based diversified alternatives manager, where he produced thematic research to describe, illuminate and forecast the market environment for the firm’s investment team. From 2008 to 2010, he was the senior macro strategist at HSBC North America, responsible for generating macroeconomic views for their Private Bank Investment Group of the Americas and applying them to asset allocation, portfolio construction and tactical trade decisions. Earlier in his career, Winograd worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the World Bank. He holds a BA (cum laude) in Asian studies from Dartmouth College and an MA in international studies from the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies. Location: New York

Trade Wars Likely to Change the Fed’s Interest-Rate Game Plan
What’s Up (or Down) with the Fed’s Balance Sheet
Will Modern Monetary Theory Go Mainstream?
The Case of the Missing Inflation…and What the Fed’s Doing About It
Is the Fed Done with Rate Hikes This Year…and Next?
The Long View: China—The Indispensable Nation?
The Long View: Is Tech Helping or Hurting?
The Long View: The Problem with Populism
The Long View: Debt and Demographics
Latest Jobs Data Show a Robust US Labor Market
Is It Time for the Fed to Ditch the Dot Plot?

Is It Time for the Fed to Ditch the Dot Plot?

by Eric Winograd
The magnitude of recent market reactions to the Fed’s comments makes it clear that communication between the Fed and markets isn’t working: the market is too focused on the Fed—and not enough on the economy. One solution? The Fed should stop giving forward guidance about rates—and eliminate the “dot plot.”

Economics


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