Eric Winograd

Senior Economist—Fixed Income

Eric Winograd is a Senior Vice President and Senior Economist for Fixed Income, responsible for the economic and interest-rate analysis of the US, Canada and Mexico. He joined the firm in 2017. From 2010 to 2016, Winograd was the senior economist at MKP Capital Management, a US-based diversified alternatives manager, where he produced thematic research to describe, illuminate and forecast the market environment for the firm’s investment team. From 2008 to 2010, he was the senior macro strategist at HSBC North America, responsible for generating macroeconomic views for their Private Bank Investment Group of the Americas and applying them to asset allocation, portfolio construction and tactical trade decisions. Earlier in his career, Winograd worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the World Bank. He holds a BA (cum laude) in Asian studies from Dartmouth College and an MA in international studies from the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies. Location: New York

Inverted US Yield Curve? Recession? Not So Fast
Can the US Economy Weather the Trade Wars?
The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: Three Reasons US Rates Are Going Up
High Stakes: Why Trade Policy Matters
Where Will the Fed’s Rate-Hike Cycle End?
US Inflation: Signs Are Pointing Up
As Volatility Spikes, Watch the Economy, Not the Market
Five Reasons the Fed Could Hike More than You Think
Fed Policy for 2018? If It Isn’t Broken…
Five Questions About US Tax Legislation
Why Tax Reform Is Better than Tax Cuts
Trump’s Fed Choice: Continuity
Fed Outlook: Read the Lines, Not Between Them

Fed Outlook: Read the Lines, Not Between Them

by Eric Winograd
Fed watching has become something of an industry unto itself, and because I think there are so many people doing it, many people feel the need to try to be cute about it: to try to read between the lines, if you will, and to try to divine what it is that the Fed is thinking. Look, the Fed as an institution is very transparent. It’s not an institution where you’re supposed to read between the lines. You’re supposed to read the lines.

Economics


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