March 27, 2020 The Key Part of the US Fiscal Relief Package? Willingness to Act by Eric Winograd The historic US fiscal aid package isn’t a quick fix, but it provides welcome relief and will make it easier for the US economy to rebound when the coronavirus crisis eases. More important, it shows that Congress is willing to act swiftly and dynamically. Business Owners, Coronavirus, Economics, Equities, Fixed Income, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 24, 2020 Five Ways Policymakers Can Beat the Coronavirus by Darren Williams Policymakers cannot avert a big near-term economic hit. But they can build the foundations for recovery—if they take the right steps now. Coronavirus, Economics Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 18, 2020 The Fed Could Roll Out De Facto Fiscal Policy Under Section 13(3) by Eric Winograd Conventional wisdom says the Fed is pretty much out of tools to support markets and an economy derailed by the coronavirus. But if things don’t stabilize soon or if the fiscal response is too slow, we expect the Fed to take on broad fiscal-like authority to funnel liquidity into struggling businesses and households. Coronavirus, Economics, Equities, Fixed Income, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 16, 2020 How Can European Policymakers Beat the Coronavirus? by Darren Williams Europe has changed swiftly from spectator to front-line combatant in the battle against the coronavirus. The potential damage from its spread is severe, but European policymakers are reacting robustly to the threat. Coronavirus, Economics Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 10, 2020 The Fed and Coronavirus: Is Fiscal Help Needed, Too? by Eric Winograd With markets reeling from concerns over the coronavirus and plummeting oil prices, the US Federal Reserve took another step Monday to shore up markets. The Fed has more in its toolbox, but fiscal policy may also be needed to fill a gap in the US economy. Coronavirus, Economics, Fixed Income, Late-Cycle Investing, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 05, 2020 How Will the Coronavirus Impact World Economies? by Darren Williams The coronavirus is dominating the news and sparking panic in markets. We believe the options for policymakers are clear—but will they implement them? Coronavirus, Economics Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
March 04, 2020 Fed May Cut Rates Further to Counter Coronavirus Headwinds by Eric Winograd This week’s Fed rate cut helped steady financial markets reeling from the expected impact of the coronavirus on the US economy, and we think more cuts are coming—in March and beyond. The economy should rebound in the second half of the year, though at a lower full-year pace. Coronavirus, Economics, Fixed Income, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 27, 2020 What If [Insert Geopolitical Headline of the Moment] Sinks the Market? by Alexander Chaloff, Beata Kirr Trade wars. Super viruses. Nuclear missile tests. Elections. Uprisings. We are often asked about the impact of events such as these on the market, so we looked back at a long list of geopolitical events to ascertain their impact. Coronavirus, Economics, Trade Wars Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 20, 2020 Are We In A Government Bond Bubble? by Christopher Brigham Financial pundits have made waves talking about a government bond bubble or an “everything bubble.” We look at the current state of the market to see if those arguments hold water or not. Asset Allocation, Economics, Fixed Income, Multi-Asset Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 05, 2020 The Late Cycle: The Fed Balance Sheet by Scott DiMaggio, Eric Winograd The Fed balance sheet is back. Our Co-Head of Fixed Income and our US economist discuss what recent stimulus means to the economy and markets. Economics, Fixed Income, Late-Cycle Investing Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 05, 2020 Brexit: It Ain’t Over till It’s Over by Darren Williams At 11 p.m. GMT on Friday, January 31st, the UK formally left the European Union. Thank goodness for that, many will say. Unfortunately, it isn’t quite that simple, as the UK and the EU still need to reach agreement on the shape of their future trading relationship. Brexit, Economics Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
February 03, 2020 Why are interest rates so low? And where might they go? by Matthew D. Palazzolo, Christopher Brigham Interest rates around the world are at the lowest levels in history. We sort through the reasons why and use them to think about where rates might go from here. Capital Markets Outlook, Economics, Equities, Fixed Income, Multi-Asset Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 23, 2020 Will the Wuhan Coronavirus Infect China’s Economy? by Mo Ji A virus is spreading across China, causing disruption, severe illness and even death. In addition to the tragic human cost of an epidemic, widespread disease can cause significant macroeconomic damage. We estimate the potential impact of the Wuhan coronavirus on China’s GDP growth. China, Economics, Emerging Markets Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks