Spanish Bank Rescue Package Is a Step in the Right Direction

The €100bn rescue package agreed for Spanish banks over the weekend is credible and, to that extent, should be welcomed. But it is not enough, by itself, to stabilize markets on a sustained basis.

read more

A Credible Recapitalization of Spanish Banks Is Now Imperative

A  credible recapitalization of the Spanish banks is now a necessary, though not sufficient, condition to stabilize markets. But there is disagreement about how to achieve this—increasing the risk of a damaging standoff and further volatility in European sovereign-debt markets.

read more

Euro-Area Leaders Need to Focus on More Pressing Issues

A surprising amount of common ground was reached at last week’s informal meeting of European Union leaders—but  there wasn’t agreement on joint issuance of Eurobonds.

read more

What Will Happen if Greece Leaves the Euro Area?

With party leaders failing to set aside their differences, Greece is set to hold another general election on June 17. The outcome is hard to predict, but one thing is clear: a Greek exit from the euro area is now a possibility that investors need to take very seriously. 

read more

Spanish Jitters Reveal Euro’s Fragility

Yields on 10-year Spanish government bonds have risen by 100 basis points since the beginning of March.  With attention now switching back to Spain, it seems the brief hope provided by the European Central Bank’s massive liquidity injections has proved to be a false dawn. Why has confidence evaporated so quickly?

read more

Could German Inflation Help the Euro Area to Rebalance?

Euro-area data have surprised on the upside in the opening weeks of 2012. This is particularly true in Germany, where there has been a strong bounce in key cyclical indicators and genuine signs of expansion. But could Germany be getting too much of a good thing?

read more

Archives by Month:

Archives by Subject: