Emerging-Market Currency Returns: Fact vs. Fiction

By Paul DeNoon (pictured) and Kenneth Colangelo Emerging-market (EM) currencies have long been a popular investment theme. It’s commonly assumed that attractive returns can be earned from the appreciation of EM currencies versus the dollar. The truth is a bit more complicated.

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Triangulating a Truer Course Through Emerging Markets

Where can you find a car market which will double in size in the next five years? Brazil and Russia might be obvious places to look, but would you have expected Chile, Colombia, Ukraine and Vietnam? Picking the next big themes in emerging consumer markets is even harder than in the well-researched developed world. To [...]

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Is There Life After BRICs for Emerging Market Investors?

For more than a decade, Brazil, Russia, India and China have dominated the landscape in emerging markets. But as the BRICs-driven commodities boom wanes, investors may need to rethink their approach.

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Looking for Growth? Go Small and Global

Liliana Castillo Dearth (pictured) and Bruce K. Aronow In the hunt for growth in today’s low-growth world, up-and-coming small- and mid-sized companies are a good place to start. But you need to look everywhere, from Indiana to Indonesia.

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Big Numbers Obscure Emerging Market Trends

Big is not necessarily beautiful when it comes to forecasting emerging markets. In fact, the kind of big numbers that are often bandied around can actually make it harder for investors to understand what’s really going on. We think there is a better way.

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Indian Milk Helps Quench Thirst for Emerging-Market Growth

Evolving trends in emerging markets are not always driven by macro-economic policies or demographics. Sometimes, something as simple as a fridge can change millions of people’s lives and re-define an entire industry.

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Will Emerging-Market Stocks Close Gap with Global Equities?

Companies in emerging markets are more profitable and less debt burdened than their developed-market peers, and their shares trade at a deep discount. So when will emerging-market stocks close the gap with global equity markets?

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Five Key Themes for Equity Investors

Equity markets have started to perk up in early 2013, yet lackluster economic growth is posing a challenge to corporate profitability. In this promising but complex environment, we’ve identified five key themes for equity investors that are worth watching as the year unfolds.

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Feared Copper “Flood” More Likely a Trickle

Investors have turned bearish on commodities, particularly in the case of copper, where recent talk of a looming surge in new supply has sparked fears of a price rout. We’re skeptical about the copper supply-glut story and don’t think what’s happening in copper is a “canary in the coal mine” for the rest of the [...]

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Shadow Banking Darkens China Policy Outlook

Chinese government measures to cool the property market last week could be the start of a broader tightening campaign. The “shadow banking” industry might be next in line for action.

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