Will Two Key Sectors Survive China’s “Long” Landing?

By Hayden Briscoe (pictured), Shamaila Khan and Jenny Zeng Based on insights from our team’s recent trip to China, we noted that the country is likely headed for a long economic landing. What does that mean for its infrastructure and commodity sectors?

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China’s Economy Gliding into “Long” Landing

By Hayden Briscoe (pictured), Shamaila Khan and Jenny Zeng China’s economy isn’t headed for a hard or soft landing—instead, it’s more likely to be a long landing. That’s our perspective, based on our team’s recent visit to China to get an up-close look at the economic landscape.

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Time to Rethink China’s Equity Markets

Plans for a new Shanghai-Hong Kong trading system are among three developments that we expect will give a boost to China’s equity markets in the medium to long term. So despite concern about the economic outlook, now could be the time to begin rethinking China from an investment perspective.

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History and Policy Point to Renminbi Rally

Many investors are worried about the future path of the Chinese currency after its sharp depreciation earlier this year. Based on fundamentals and the expectation that China will stick to its foreign-exchange policy, we think the currency has reached a fork in the road and is likely to rally.

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China’s Reforms Open New Path to Equities

Stuart Rae (pictured) and John Lin For investors in China equities, there have traditionally been two ways of approaching the market: through expensive growth stocks, or risky contrarian plays. Now, thanks to China’s reforms, there’s a third way which may offer a better balance of risk and return.

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China’s Property Market: The Risks for Banks

By Hayden Briscoe (pictured) and Hua Cheng of AllianceBernstein (NYSE:AB) Despite worries about a collapse in China’s property market, we think the financial system will navigate the coming credit cycle if banks can buy time to resolve loan problems—and receive government support if needed.

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China’s Property Market: Policy Is the Real Risk

By Hayden Briscoe (pictured) and Jenny Zeng of AllianceBernstein (NYSE:AB) Concerns about a possible collapse in China’s property market continue to grow. However, our research suggests that fundamentals are more robust than many think. The biggest danger lies in the potential for policy mistakes.

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Cold Facts in Emerging Market Fridges

It’s not easy for investors to grasp the dynamics of consumer spending in diverse emerging markets. We think the best way is to look inside the refrigerators of people across the developing world.

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RMB Hits a Speed Bump—for Now

The notion that China’s currency, the renminbi (RMB), is on a long-term path of appreciation appears in question after its sharp decline since February. We think that the setback is only temporary—and that the currency will resume its climb in a few months.

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China at a Crossroads

Expectations are high that President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang, nearly one year into their likely 10-year reign, will unveil reform policies that will define China’s social and economic development over the next decade and beyond. After the proposals are made public, the new leaders must prove that they can implement substantial change without [...]

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