Shadow Banking Darkens China Policy Outlook

Chinese government measures to cool the property market last week could be the start of a broader tightening campaign. The “shadow banking” industry might be next in line for action.

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No Need to Fear China’s Housing Crackdown

Stuart Rae and John Lin New measures to cool China’s housing market have triggered fresh volatility and stock declines across Asia. But we think the latest government moves won’t derail the long-term drivers of Chinese real estate growth.

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Finding Value in Australian Equities

Investors in Australia have piled into defensive stocks since 2010, amid a global flight to safety. As a result, many cyclical companies are now unusually cheap, despite strong balance sheets and cash flows, and this has created a compelling opportunity.

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Investors Vote for Equities as Japanese Elections Near

Takeo Aso and Nicholas Davidson Current bearishness on the yen is reigniting investors’ interest in Japanese equities. In our view, yen weakness is likely to continue and may help boost the Japanese equity market, with undervalued companies poised to benefit most.

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Japanese Carmakers Can Surmount Backlash from China Dispute

Takeo Aso and Atsushi Horikawa The territorial dispute between China and Japan is clouding the outlook for Japanese automakers. But we think that bilateral business pragmatism will eventually trump the current political tensions.

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Defying the Crowd on Chinese Stocks

Slowing economic growth, uncertainty about government policy and disappointing returns have made equity investors wary of China. In other words, it’s a perfect time to hunt for investment opportunities.

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Déjà vu With a Difference
in China’s Investment Drive

Infrastructure investment in China is an important indicator of demand and a key signal of Beijing’s ability to revive the economy. This week, a flurry of news suggested that the rebound in infrastructure investment is gathering momentum. 

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Could Asia Come to the Rescue in a Global Double Dip?

Expansionary policy in Asia helped lead the world out of its slump after the 2008 financial crisis. While the region doesn’t have as much room for manoeuvre as it did then, we think it has ample firepower to deploy if the global economy slides into recession again.

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Stronger Renminbi Is Key to Chinese Rebalancing

China’s recent move to widen the renminbi’s trading band is unlikely to impact the near-term path of the currency, but we believe it represents another important step forward in the country’s financial liberalization. Below, my colleague Anthony Chan explains how a more flexible—and stronger—currency is a vital component of policymakers’ efforts to rebalance China’s export-dependent [...]

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The Chinese Currency’s Great Leap Forward

China is set to overtake the US as the world’s largest economy in less than a decade, but its currency, the renminbi, still accounts for just a tiny fraction of global trade settlement. While there’s a long way to go before it’s viable as a global reserve currency, we think that the renminbi will challenge [...]

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