Fiscal Cliff Adds Urgency to US Election Budget Showdown

With a record tax increase on tap for January 1, 2013, there has never been a better time for Washington to have a serious debate about fiscal policy. Before the economy reaches the so-called fiscal cliff, when huge tax increases and spending cuts are scheduled to take effect, US voters will have the opportunity to [...]

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Is a Japan-Style “Lost Decade” Ahead for the US?

The laborious pace of the US recovery has inevitably fostered comparisons with Japan. But we find several reasons why a protracted slump like Japan’s is unlikely, as my colleague Gerry Paul argues below.

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Euro Area: Locked in a Cycle of Market Pressure and Policy Response

 The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised the prospect of a more effective bond-purchase programme. Unfortunately, it may require additional market pressure for governments to unlock that support.

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Draghi’s Dilemma: How to Meet
Heightened Expectations

European Central Bank Governor Mario Draghi has raised expectations ahead of this week’s ECB Governing Council meeting.

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Déjà vu With a Difference
in China’s Investment Drive

Infrastructure investment in China is an important indicator of demand and a key signal of Beijing’s ability to revive the economy. This week, a flurry of news suggested that the rebound in infrastructure investment is gathering momentum. 

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Is Germany an Example Other
Euro-Area Countries Can Follow?

Germany may have the strongest economy in the troubled euro area, but the euro has not been a massive “free lunch”, as some critics claim. Germany’s strength has come at the cost of many painful years of sacrifice.

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What’s Behind the Risk-On/Risk-Off US Economy?

The US economic recovery is progressing in fits and starts. Short-lived “risk-on” periods, when companies and consumers invest more, seem to constantly give way to “risk-off” periods, with anxiety and fear restraining economic activity.

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Greece Gains Some Breathing Space

Today, New Democracy (ND) leader Antonis Samaras will try to form a government. If he succeeds, an immediate disaster scenario will have been avoided. The question is: for how long? 

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Greek Election Will Be a Watershed in the Euro Crisis

As Greek voters prepare to go to the polls on Sunday, we are approaching a pivotal stage in the sovereign-debt crisis—and, perhaps, in the post-war history of European economic and political integration.

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Spanish Bank Rescue Package Is a Step in the Right Direction

The €100bn rescue package agreed for Spanish banks over the weekend is credible and, to that extent, should be welcomed. But it is not enough, by itself, to stabilize markets on a sustained basis.

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