European QE Draws Attention to Irish Bonds

John Taylor (pictured) and Dennis Shen Europe’s bond markets are starting to focus on the potential impact of ECB sovereign-bond purchases. While we expect QE to prompt a further narrowing of peripheral European sovereign-bond spreads, it’s important to stay focused on country fundamentals when selecting exposure.

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Will New Greek Drama Threaten European Periphery?

Darren Williams (pictured) and Dennis Shen Markets are reacting badly to Greek plans to exit its bailout program early. Uncertainties are being heightened by the prospect of early general elections. The end-result has been a sharp sell-off in Greek sovereign bonds, which has raised fresh concerns about the potential for spillover from Greek risks to [...]

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In EM, Beware Commodity Riches Without Policy Smarts

By Fernando Losada (pictured) and Alexander Perjessy of AllianceBernstein (NYSE:AB) Fixed-income investors often divide emerging markets into commodity exporters and commodity importers. We think this overlooks an important reality: commodity wealth is not the sole—or even the most important—driver of EM performance.

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Draghi Sharpens “Three Arrows” for Europe

When the European Central Bank’s Governing Council convenes tomorrow in Frankfurt, there will be plenty of talk about Mario Draghi’s recent speech at Jackson Hole. Not only did this open the door to a large-scale quantitative easing (QE) programme, it may in time be seen as a pivotal moment in the evolution of the euro area’s policy framework as it attempts [...]

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China’s Property Market: Policy Is the Real Risk

By Hayden Briscoe (pictured) and Jenny Zeng of AllianceBernstein (NYSE:AB) Concerns about a possible collapse in China’s property market continue to grow. However, our research suggests that fundamentals are more robust than many think. The biggest danger lies in the potential for policy mistakes.

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US Economy Rebounds—with More Upside Likely

This week’s US gross domestic product (GDP) data paints a bright picture for the second quarter and a less gloomy first-quarter decline than first published. As impressive as the rebound looks on the surface, we think it’s still understated.

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US Productivity Puzzle Could Lead to Upside Surprise

A first-quarter productivity slump fueled concerns about the US economy, but second-quarter labor and company earnings data indicate better productivity and underlying growth. In short, the data point to a US economic cycle that’s broader and stronger than it appears on the surface.

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Could Reforms Lead to Asia Rerating?

Asia’s three biggest economies—China, India and Japan—are carrying out reform programs. Taken individually, these may do little to excite investors’ imaginations, but taken together, they become much more interesting.

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Bold ECB Plan Fails to Quell QE Talk

This week, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced a bigger and broader package of stimulus measures than anyone anticipated. But don’t hold your breath for a material near-term boost to growth or inflation in the region.

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New Dawn for Peripheral Europe?

Darren Williams (pictured) and Dennis Shen When Mario Draghi pledged to do “whatever it takes” to save the euro in July 2012, nobody expected things to change so quickly. Peripheral bond markets have since turned around sharply, supporting the European economic recovery. But can the improvements be sustained after countries exit their bailouts?

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