Lessons Learned in 2014

In 2014, US stocks forged ahead, international developed and emerging-market stocks lagged, bonds did better than expected, and the IRS took a bigger bite. Here are some lessons for US investors to carry forward into 2015.

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Will Two Key Sectors Survive China’s “Long” Landing?

By Hayden Briscoe (pictured), Shamaila Khan and Jenny Zeng Based on insights from our team’s recent trip to China, we noted that the country is likely headed for a long economic landing. What does that mean for its infrastructure and commodity sectors?

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Five Ways to Tackle Risk in Emerging Equities

Nelson Yu (pictured) and Morgan C. Harting Emerging-market (EM) equities are far more turbulent than their developed-world peers. But there are several things investors can do to capture the attractive return potential while reducing volatility. Staying active is the lynchpin for success.

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Five Ways to Tackle Risk in Emerging Equities

Nelson Yu (pictured) and Morgan C. Harting Emerging-market (EM) equities are far more turbulent than their developed-world peers. But there are several things investors can do to capture the attractive return potential while reducing volatility. Staying active is the lynchpin for success.

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China’s Economy Gliding into “Long” Landing

By Hayden Briscoe (pictured), Shamaila Khan and Jenny Zeng China’s economy isn’t headed for a hard or soft landing—instead, it’s more likely to be a long landing. That’s our perspective, based on our team’s recent visit to China to get an up-close look at the economic landscape.

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CLO Rule Change Clouds Outlook for Bank Loans

Retail investors fell out of love with US bank loans this year, but demand from issuers of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) has remained strong. New regulations may change that. Should investors be concerned? We think so.

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Pick and Mix: Fresh Ideas for Diversifying Bond Exposure

Policy backdrops and growth trajectories around the world are showing increasing signs of divergence. Yet many bond investors continue to congregate in a few selected pockets of the fixed income universe. In our view, it’s a perfect time to reconsider diversification tactics.

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Oil Price Won’t Stay Low Forever

Kevin Simms (pictured) and Jeremy Taylor When OPEC leaders convene in Vienna tomorrow, the recent sharp decline in the oil price will top the agenda. Yet despite the pressures, our research suggests that the underlying economics of production should eventually drive the oil price higher from current levels.

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In Energy Revolution, Bond Investors Must Keep Their Heads

By Ivan Rudolph-Shabinsky (pictured) and Petter Stensland A surge in capital expenditures and leverage in the energy industry could end badly for some companies and their creditors. While select opportunities exist, we think bond investors should think carefully before they blindly bankroll today’s North American energy revolution.

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Grappling with Geopolitical Risk

Financial markets have faced an increasing array of geopolitical risks this year. In our view, investors should put these events into the right context and focus on how individual companies might be affected when considering their potential impact on equity positions or allocations.

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