Real Asset Strategies: Timing Isn’t Everything, but…

Real assets are coming off of a horrendous year relative to diversified stocks. Meanwhile, inflation is expected to stay low indefinitely. So why in the world should anyone own real assets now?

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How Low Can the 30-Year Treasury Yield Go?

Posted by Michael DePalma (pictured) and Philip Chasparis of AllianceBernstein (NYSE: AB) Even as the US Federal Reserve has continued to taper bond purchases and hint at eventually tightening monetary policy, long-term US Treasury yields have not only continued to fall, but outperformed all other maturities from two-year to 10-year bonds. Investors shouldn’t bank on them falling [...]

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Risk Parity Under the Microscope

Posted by Daniel J. Loewy (pictured) and Brian T. Brugman of AllianceBernstein (NYSE: AB) After tremendous growth over more than a decade of strong returns, risk-parity strategies have recently been struggling. Has the market run-up exposed a fatal flaw? We don’t think so.

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Let’s Get Real About Inflation

by Jon Ruff (pictured) and Greg Wilensky of AllianceBernstein (NYSE:AB) For the US and other developed economies right now, it’s “all quiet on the inflation front.” Perhaps too quiet. That’s why we believe it’s time to get real about inflation and the investing opportunities that may well develop in the next several years.

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Building a Better Passive Mousetrap

Michael DePalma (pictured) and Richard Abramson In a recent blog, Passive Management Does Not Equal Passive Investing, we showed how passively managed portfolios actually create an active investment in which volatility isn’t benign and risk exposures can vary wildly over time. So if we could fix the problem and reduce exposure to spikes in market [...]

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The Party’s Over. Why Own Commodities?

Jon Ruff (pictured) and Seth J. Masters Commodity prices soared during the first decade of this century. But now the party’s over: new sources of supply are coming on line just as demand from China is slowing, leading to expectations of price declines. So should investors shun commodity-related investments?

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Is Inflation Really Gone Forever?

Recent movements in asset prices suggest that markets have forsaken any possibility of an inflation outbreak in the next decade. We believe that view is far too sanguine.

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Tail-Risk Parity: The Quest for a Crash-Proof Portfolio

Michael DePalma By any name—Black Swan, three-standard-deviation event or negative tail event—the risk of unexpected heavy losses is a major concern for investors. The question is how best to protect against these low-probability, high-impact market moves.

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Japan and the Euphoric Volatility Trap

Michael DePalma (pictured) and Arnab Nilim When equity markets are buoyant and optimism abounds, fears of volatility tend to subside. But recent events in Japan remind us that euphoria itself can generate turbulence.

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Beware of the New Systemic Risk

Michael DePalma It felt like there was nowhere to hide from the market declines last Monday, April 15, when stocks, bonds and commodities fell in unison across the world, well before the Boston bombings that day. We believe that this failure of diversification was instigated by increasingly powerful multi-asset funds, many of which use leverage, [...]

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