What’s the Point of Investing in Dreams?

Is innovation dead or are we on the cusp of new technological revolutions? Without resolving this epic debate, we believe that market conditions today are conducive to investing in companies with disruptive potential, but it takes a sober approach to find big dreams that can deliver big returns.

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Cyclical Stocks Appeal After Defensive-Led Rally

This year’s equity market rally was initially led by defensive stocks, as macroeconomic concerns persisted despite improved risk appetite. With valuations in these sectors looking stretched and cyclically oriented stocks starting to rebound in May, is a bigger shift starting to unfold? 

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Five Key Themes for Equity Investors

Equity markets have started to perk up in early 2013, yet lackluster economic growth is posing a challenge to corporate profitability. In this promising but complex environment, we’ve identified five key themes for equity investors that are worth watching as the year unfolds.

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Solving the Profitability Puzzle

Companies around the world enjoyed especially high profit margins in late 2012. But can this trend be maintained or is profitability poised for a collapse that might threaten stocks this year?

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Pay Attention to Pricing Power in 2013

Revisions to earnings forecasts started to improve in late 2012 as analysts’ worst macroeconomic fears eased. But this year, global companies may find it tougher to boost profits while their pricing power remains weak.

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Don’t Get Trapped by a Crowd in Stocks

Nobody likes to be stuck for too long on a crowded bus or train—especially when it’s time to get off. But when it comes to stocks, we often overlook the risks of getting trapped with too many people in an untenable position.

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What’s Bubbling Up? The Hidden Costs of Indexing

Investors eager for “safety” have been piling into indexed portfolios at the expense of actively managed strategies—and thus making a big, and risky, bet against deep value and for high-dividend  yielding stocks.  We think they’re pursuing just the wrong course.

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Don’t Paint Yourself into a Corner with Overly Defensive Strategies

Popular strategies for hedging against deflation and hyperinflation are likely to be disastrous if the economic outlook grows more benign as we expect.

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A New Paradigm for Balancing Risk and Return

One of the greatest challenges facing money managers in the aftermath of 2008 has been how to balance the fear of loss against the need to take risk in order to generate positive real returns. Striking the right balance between them will, I believe, be the key to investment success in 2012.

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The Power of Diversifying by Investment Time Horizon

No portfolio is protective in all environments, but the best risk-management strategy is to maintain exposure to well-chosen investments and strategies with short, intermediate and long time horizons. Each group will be poised to outperform in different markets and in response to different investor moods.

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