How Low Can the 30-Year Treasury Yield Go?

Posted by Michael DePalma (pictured) and Philip Chasparis of AllianceBernstein (NYSE: AB) Even as the US Federal Reserve has continued to taper bond purchases and hint at eventually tightening monetary policy, long-term US Treasury yields have not only continued to fall, but outperformed all other maturities from two-year to 10-year bonds. Investors shouldn’t bank on them falling [...]

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Building a Better Passive Mousetrap

Michael DePalma (pictured) and Richard Abramson In a recent blog, Passive Management Does Not Equal Passive Investing, we showed how passively managed portfolios actually create an active investment in which volatility isn’t benign and risk exposures can vary wildly over time. So if we could fix the problem and reduce exposure to spikes in market [...]

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Passive Management ≠ Passive Investing

Michael DePalma (pictured) and Guoan Du Passive investments are often misunderstood. Instead of providing static positioning as implied by the label, they can be very capricious because of market and sector turbulence. To tame a passive asset, we think investors need to exert more active control over the dynamics of volatility.

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Tail-Risk Parity: The Quest for a Crash-Proof Portfolio

Michael DePalma By any name—Black Swan, three-standard-deviation event or negative tail event—the risk of unexpected heavy losses is a major concern for investors. The question is how best to protect against these low-probability, high-impact market moves.

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Japan and the Euphoric Volatility Trap

Michael DePalma (pictured) and Arnab Nilim When equity markets are buoyant and optimism abounds, fears of volatility tend to subside. But recent events in Japan remind us that euphoria itself can generate turbulence.

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Beware of the New Systemic Risk

Michael DePalma It felt like there was nowhere to hide from the market declines last Monday, April 15, when stocks, bonds and commodities fell in unison across the world, well before the Boston bombings that day. We believe that this failure of diversification was instigated by increasingly powerful multi-asset funds, many of which use leverage, [...]

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