Japan and the Euphoric Volatility Trap

Michael DePalma (pictured) and Arnab Nilim When equity markets are buoyant and optimism abounds, fears of volatility tend to subside. But recent events in Japan remind us that euphoria itself can generate turbulence.

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Just a Sneeze—or Dutch Disease?

The changing dynamics of the commodity boom imply leaner times ahead for producer countries. Investors, however, should be wary of tarring them all with the same brush, as we believe such countries will offer different risks and opportunities as the cycle unwinds.

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In Memory of Remington Rand: Why Tech Is Entering a New Era

Who remembers Remington Rand? Very few of the people reading this post, I’ll bet. Yet in 1952, Remington Rand was the biggest computer company in the US. It disappeared as part of the process of creative destruction which is the hallmark of the technology industry—and it’s happening again today.

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In Search of DC Solutions: Are Global Bonds the Answer?

By Alison Martier and Seth J. Masters Many US defined contribution (DC) plan sponsors are seeking solutions aimed at reducing undue volatility—excess volatility without a commensurate increase in return—that can prevent a plan and its participants from achieving their long-term objectives. Our research suggests that hedged global bonds may be one solution.

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You’re in the Money

Kathleen M. Fisher and Richard L.N. Weaver  Lots of stock options have become valuable in the recent stock market rebound. When should you exercise and when should you sit tight? Systematic planning is required to answer that question.

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Breaking Down Borders in High Yield

After a multiyear rally, many high-yield investors are looking for new strategies to better balance risk and return. We don’t think a deep dive into riskier credits is the answer. Instead, investors should consider moving beyond traditional boundaries—both geographic and in credit rating.

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Does Behavioral Investing Make Sense Anymore?

Kevin Simms (pictured) and Joseph G. Paul Value investing has faced a crisis of confidence after five tough years. Here’s why we think the behavioral investing principles that underpin the discipline are more relevant than ever.

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Should Euro-Area Exporters Worry About a Weaker Yen?

Darren Williams (pictured) and Guy Bruten As the yen continues to plummet, exporters around the world are growing concerned that Japanese rivals may gain a competitive advantage. But our analysis suggests that the euro-area economy may not be quite as vulnerable as widely perceived. 

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Rising Asset Prices Sharpen US Policy Challenge

As the housing market wakes up and the stock market rallies, strong gains in asset prices are improving US household wealth and helping to reduce the federal deficit. This is a great boost for confidence, but it also sharpens the challenge facing US fiscal and monetary authorities.

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DC Plan Sponsors Should Look Further than Their Own Backyard

By Alison Martier and Seth J. Masters US defined contribution (DC) plan sponsors large and small are seeking ways to help plan participants achieve better outcomes. Over the last 30 years, compelling evidence has accumulated that suggests currency-hedged global bonds may be an important part of the solution.

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